Report: Boston pop. to rise 400k by 2025 - Boston Business Journal:

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That’s why bizjournals is issuing its own populationn projections forthe nation’s 250 largest metropolitan areas, looking as far ahead as 2025. Bizjournalss analyzed recent county-by-county growth patterns within each state, and then used that informatiojn to predict metropolitan growthat five-year intervals between 2005 and 2025. No one can forese e all of the economic twists and demographic turns that the comingg two decadeswill bring, but bizjournals’ projections suggest a rangde of intriguing possibilities. Here are some possibilities ofparticular • Boston will have adderd roughly 400,000 residents in the 20-yeare span ended 2025, with a totak population topping 4.
84 million That should be good enough to rank the city as the country’e 12th-largest, based on bizjournals’ projections. As of Boston was ranked as the 10th largesf city in theUnitec States. By comparison, the city of Worcester, Mass., is expectedc to slip 11 spots in the rankings falling fromthe country’s 64th largest city to its 75th by 2025. That fall wouled come despite a projected 5 percent increasein Worcester’s population, which is expectef to reach just over 813,00p0 by 2025. • Barnstable, Mass., tied for 10th amongy the cities expected fall the farthesgt inthe rankings.
The city, with a populatiomn of roughly 219,000 in 2005, is expected to slip 6 percengt by2025 — pushing Barnstable down 39 spots to 227th in the largest-cityh rankings. • New York City will retain firsgt place by acomfortable margin. The nation’ds largest metropolitan area isthe 23-countu New York City region, which spillsw over into Long Island, New Jerseyt and Pennsylvania. It had 18.8 milliob residents in 2005, according to U.S. Censud Bureau estimates. No. 2 Los Angeleds was far behind at 12.8 million. Los Angeles is growinvg more rapidly thanNew York, but not fast enoug to close the gap appreciably. The two giante will still be separatedby 5.
8 million people in when New York has 19.8 millionb residents and Los Angeles has a shades more than 14 million. Houston and Atlanta will climb into thetop six. Houstonj was the nation’s seventh-largest metro in and Atlanta was No. 9. Both will be moving highefr incoming years. Houston is projected to shoor up to fifth place by addingalmost 2.6 million peopl e to reach a population of nearly 7.9 million. Atlantaq is ticketed for sixth placeat 7.3 The top four metros, by the way, will maintai precisely the same order over the 20-yea r period: New York, Los Angeles, Chicagop and Dallas-Fort Worth. • Detroit will drop out of the top 10, with Phoeni replacing it.
Detroit and Phoenix are two of the most economicallhy troubled areas inAmerica today, but theier future prospects are considerably different. Detroitf is the only metrop expected to slip from the top 10 durin g the nexttwo decades. It’s projectexd to fall from 10th place in 2005 to 14th placewin 2025, losing 59,500 residents during that Phoenix, on the othedr hand, is likely to bounce back stronglg from its current problems. Its projected 2025 population of 6.9 million will elevatew it to seventh place, up from 13th in 2005. Raleigh will set the fastest pace of anymetropolitann area. The three-county Raleigh metro will virtually doubl e its population during thestudy period.
It had 953,009 residents in 2005, but shoulxd be closing in on 1.9 milliomn by 2025.